Corvia Diagnostics
Investment thesis
Hospital labs are short of staff, and Corvia’s assay cuts a four-hour test to forty minutes. Two paying pilots suggest the buyer exists.
Bear case
Procurement in Nordic healthcare takes 12 to 18 months. If the pilots stall, the company needs a bridge before its Series A.
Return
| Scenario | Share | Exit | MOIC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Small | 59% | €50M | 8× |
| Mid | 32% | €190M | 30× |
| Big | 7% | €750M | 120× |
| Unicorn | 2% | €3.3B | 520× |
39% of paths reach an exit. pwMOIC 13.1× against a 10× target, holding up to €6.5M post-money.



